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Red93
44738.3
174132.0
355931.7
Blue115
152936.8
458032.4
548432.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105986070809011012013014093115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#23
38.30.5
31.731.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 1.5
1529
#17
36.80.3
35.335.6
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
Second
1741
#30
32.00.5
37.837.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 0.4
4580
#20
32.40.3
28.628.8
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Third
3559
#25
31.70.5
31.531.0
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 0.6
5484
#18
32.30.3
32.032.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsMissed