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Red96
540337.6
355931.7
82928.4
Blue135
219734.6
314734.4
174741.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310840608012014016018096135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#24
37.60.2
35.235.4
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
blue by 4.2
41.81.8
42.544.4
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
3559
#25
31.70.2
31.031.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 2.8
2197
#11
34.61.8
28.730.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
Third
829
#19
28.40.2
26.426.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
blue by 6.0
3147
#16
34.41.8
31.333.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
62%Capture oddsEarned53%Capture oddsEarned