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Red106
318027.4
23445.1
458032.4
Blue128
217134.9
102452.8
393633.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513150150200106128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#15
45.10.6
44.344.9
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
blue by 7.7
52.80.1
52.152.1
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
Second
4580
#20
32.40.6
28.829.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
blue by 2.5
34.90.1
35.235.3
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
Third
3180
#28
27.40.6
24.625.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 5.6
3936
#31
33.00.1
34.634.7
Auto7.4
Teleop21.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed72%Capture oddsEarned