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Red130
44738.3
498241.1
46140.8
Blue132
101827.9
86845.8
172036.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081246080100140160180200130132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
41.11.5
40.942.4
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
blue by 4.7
868
#3
45.80.6
50.350.9
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Second
461
#8
40.81.5
35.436.9
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
red by 4.1
1720
#22
36.70.6
36.537.1
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Third
447
#23
38.31.5
31.132.6
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 10.3
1018
#21
27.90.6
31.031.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned91%Capture oddsEarned