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Red87
318027.4
601229.8
394033.6
Blue107
4535.9
355931.7
152936.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82104406012014016087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#10
33.60.3
32.232.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6
blue by 3.2
1529
#17
36.80.6
36.136.7
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
Second
6012
#27
29.80.3
25.725.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
blue by 6.1
45
#4
35.90.6
30.330.9
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
Third
3180
#28
27.40.3
25.125.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 4.3
3559
#25
31.70.6
31.231.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed