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Red124
594431.4
540337.6
150152.9
Blue84
498241.1
317633.0
548432.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127114608010014016018020012484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.2
54.654.8
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
red by 11.8
4982
#12
41.11.9
43.341.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
Second
5403
#24
37.60.2
35.535.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
red by 4.6
3176
#26
33.01.9
34.632.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
Third
5944
#29
31.40.2
31.531.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
blue by 1.0
5484
#18
32.31.9
35.133.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
71%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed