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Red113
458032.4
82928.4
498241.1
Blue79
548432.3
101827.9
174132.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108107809010011012011379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
41.10.2
41.341.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
red by 8.8
5484
#18
32.31.7
33.131.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Second
4580
#20
32.40.2
32.833.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 0.4
1741
#30
32.01.7
38.937.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
Third
829
#19
28.40.2
30.430.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
red by 0.5
1018
#21
27.91.7
32.330.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned45%Capture oddsMissed