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Qual 352016 Indiana State Championship
Red133
13548.5
540337.6
4535.9
Blue137
314734.4
410349.9
44738.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311580100140160180133137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
48.51.0
48.6→49.6
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
blue by 1.5
4103
#2
49.91.6
44.5→46.1
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
5403
#24
37.61.0
35.7→36.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
blue by 0.7
447
#23
38.31.6
35.5→37.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Third
45
#4
35.91.0
33.8→34.8
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
red by 1.5
3147
#16
34.41.6
33.0→34.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
61%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned