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Red67
172036.7
174132.0
594431.4
Blue120
318027.4
86845.8
102452.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041455020067120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#22
36.72.7
38.435.8
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
blue by 16.0
52.81.0
54.953.9
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
Second
1741
#30
32.02.7
37.234.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 13.8
868
#3
45.81.0
52.851.8
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Third
5944
#29
31.42.7
31.328.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 4.0
3180
#28
27.41.0
27.126.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed75%Capture oddsMissed