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Red100
314734.4
458032.4
317633.0
Blue123
410349.9
174741.8
498241.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9614250200100123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#16
34.40.3
34.634.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
blue by 15.5
49.90.5
46.145.6
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
3176
#26
33.00.3
32.432.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
blue by 8.8
41.80.5
42.942.4
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Third
4580
#20
32.40.3
33.032.7
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
blue by 8.7
4982
#12
41.10.5
42.141.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed85%Capture oddsEarned