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Red114
13548.5
548432.3
219734.6
Blue116
102452.8
394033.6
7141.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614450100200114116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
48.50.2
50.250.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
blue by 4.3
52.81.3
53.952.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
Second
2197
#11
34.60.2
33.833.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
blue by 6.9
71
#5
41.51.3
44.943.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End13.4
Third
5484
#18
32.30.2
32.532.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
blue by 1.3
3940
#10
33.61.3
36.735.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
38%Capture oddsEarned94%Capture oddsEarned