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Red115
44738.3
540337.6
152936.8
Blue122
150152.9
86845.8
29238.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107158150200115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#23
38.30.2
37.337.5
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
blue by 14.7
52.91.6
56.554.9
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
Second
5403
#24
37.60.2
36.736.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
blue by 8.3
868
#3
45.81.6
51.850.1
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Third
1529
#17
36.80.2
37.838.1
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
blue by 2.1
292
#13
38.81.6
38.236.5
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
78%Capture oddsEarned96%Capture oddsMissed