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Red98
318027.4
82928.4
314734.4
Blue101
594431.4
601229.8
172036.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96946070809010011012098101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#16
34.40.1
34.334.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
blue by 2.3
1720
#22
36.70.5
35.836.3
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Second
829
#19
28.40.1
30.830.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
blue by 2.9
5944
#29
31.40.5
28.629.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Third
3180
#28
27.40.1
26.226.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 2.4
6012
#27
29.80.5
29.029.5
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsMissed