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Red124
23445.1
393633.0
498241.1
Blue128
355931.7
548432.3
86845.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311176080100140160180124128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#15
45.11.1
47.946.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
blue by 0.7
868
#3
45.80.1
50.150.3
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Second
4982
#12
41.11.1
41.540.4
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
red by 8.8
5484
#18
32.30.1
32.332.5
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Third
3936
#31
33.01.1
36.235.1
Auto7.4
Teleop21.2
End4.3
red by 1.2
3559
#25
31.70.1
33.633.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
75%Capture oddsMissed55%Capture oddsMissed