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Red114
44738.3
172036.7
594431.4
Blue139
601229.8
540337.6
174741.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105113050150114139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#23
38.30.7
37.538.2
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
blue by 3.5
41.81.4
42.443.7
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
1720
#22
36.70.7
36.337.0
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
blue by 0.8
5403
#24
37.61.4
36.938.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Third
5944
#29
31.40.7
29.129.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 1.6
6012
#27
29.81.4
29.530.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsEarned76%Capture oddsEarned