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Qual 492016 Indiana State Championship
Red115
152936.8
393633.0
174132.0
Blue134
46140.8
314734.4
13548.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107134406080120160180200115134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#17
36.80.1
38.1→38.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
blue by 11.7
135
#14
48.50.2
50.0→49.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
3936
#31
33.00.1
35.1→35.2
Auto7.4
Teleop21.2
End4.3
blue by 7.8
461
#8
40.80.2
42.0→41.8
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
1741
#30
32.00.1
35.2→35.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 2.4
3147
#16
34.40.2
34.4→34.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
81%Capture oddsMissed56%Capture oddsMissed