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Qual 502016 Indiana State Championship
Red143
7141.5
4535.9
102452.8
Blue118
23445.1
150152.9
101827.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137135100110120130150160170180143118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#6
52.80.0
52.6→52.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
blue by 0.2
1501
#1
52.90.9
54.9→54.0
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
Second
71
#5
41.50.0
43.6→43.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End13.4
blue by 3.6
234
#15
45.10.9
46.7→45.8
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
Third
45
#4
35.90.0
36.4→36.5
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
red by 8.0
1018
#21
27.90.9
29.9→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned60%Capture oddsEarned