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Red121
29238.8
410349.9
318027.4
Blue102
219734.6
317633.0
82928.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11597406080140160180121102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.8
46.247.0
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 15.4
2197
#11
34.60.4
33.734.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
Second
292
#13
38.80.8
36.537.3
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 5.9
3176
#26
33.00.4
32.032.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
Third
3180
#28
27.40.8
26.327.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 1.0
829
#19
28.40.4
30.931.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
61%Capture oddsMissed49%Capture oddsMissed