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Red130
458032.4
217134.9
86845.8
Blue121
394033.6
355931.7
540337.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221096080100140160180130121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#3
45.80.2
50.350.5
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
red by 8.3
5403
#24
37.60.6
38.238.8
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Second
34.90.2
33.433.6
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
red by 1.3
3940
#10
33.60.6
35.436.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6
Third
4580
#20
32.40.2
32.732.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 0.7
3559
#25
31.70.6
33.734.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
75%Capture oddsEarned85%Capture oddsEarned