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Red103
7141.5
152936.8
594431.4
Blue126
172036.7
102452.8
101827.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113124406080100140160180200103126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#5
41.50.9
43.642.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End13.4
blue by 11.3
52.80.2
52.652.4
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
Second
1529
#17
36.80.9
38.237.3
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
red by 0.1
1720
#22
36.70.2
37.036.8
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Third
5944
#29
31.40.9
29.928.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 3.4
1018
#21
27.90.2
29.028.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsMissed79%Capture oddsEarned