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Red95
601229.8
458032.4
46140.8
Blue126
4535.9
82928.4
150152.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105129608012014016018020095126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#8
40.80.7
41.841.1
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
blue by 12.1
52.90.3
54.054.3
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
Second
4580
#20
32.40.7
32.932.2
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
blue by 3.4
45
#4
35.90.3
36.536.8
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
Third
6012
#27
29.80.7
30.830.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
red by 1.4
829
#19
28.40.3
31.231.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
37%Capture oddsMissed75%Capture oddsEarned