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Red110
410349.9
217134.9
317633.0
Blue105
548432.3
44738.3
540337.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106976080120140110105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.6
37.437.9
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 11.7
447
#23
38.30.6
30.831.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
Second
34.90.6
32.232.8
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
blue by 2.6
5403
#24
37.60.6
33.934.5
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Third
3176
#26
33.00.6
31.932.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
red by 0.6
5484
#18
32.30.6
31.231.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed