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Red133
150152.9
314734.4
217134.9
Blue105
4535.9
318027.4
317633.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12378204060100140160180133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.7
50.050.6
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
red by 17.0
45
#4
35.91.1
25.827.0
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
Second
34.90.7
32.833.4
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
red by 2.0
3176
#26
33.01.1
32.433.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
Third
3147
#16
34.40.7
30.531.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
red by 7.0
3180
#28
27.41.1
24.525.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed