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Red89
355931.7
601229.8
102452.8
Blue127
172036.7
410349.9
46140.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117107608010014016089127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.5
51.349.7
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
red by 2.8
49.91.1
37.939.1
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
3559
#25
31.71.5
33.131.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 9.1
461
#8
40.81.1
31.933.1
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
6012
#27
29.81.5
27.726.2
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
blue by 7.0
1720
#22
36.71.1
35.336.4
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned