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Red191
86845.8
150152.9
44738.3
Blue80
46140.8
174741.8
317633.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19314510025019180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.0
54.354.3
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
red by 11.2
41.80.8
42.641.8
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
868
#3
45.80.0
47.247.2
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
red by 5.0
461
#8
40.80.8
41.640.8
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
447
#23
38.30.0
39.639.6
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 5.3
3176
#26
33.00.8
33.833.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4