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Red121
23445.1
7141.5
174132.0
Blue115
46140.8
174741.8
317633.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014750100200250121115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#15
45.10.6
46.545.9
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
red by 3.3
41.80.2
42.242.1
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
71
#5
41.50.6
42.942.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End13.4
red by 0.7
461
#8
40.80.2
41.341.1
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
1741
#30
32.00.6
33.532.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 0.9
3176
#26
33.00.2
33.433.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4