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Red186
102452.8
410349.9
152936.8
Blue120
13548.5
4535.9
355931.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191151100200250186120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.0
52.852.8
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
red by 4.3
135
#14
48.50.4
48.948.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Second
49.90.0
49.950.0
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 14.0
45
#4
35.90.4
36.436.0
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
Third
1529
#17
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
red by 5.1
3559
#25
31.70.4
32.231.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1