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Red167
150150.1
7144.9
601227.7
Blue130
102452.1
174743.3
4526.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16316650100150200250300167130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.350.3
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
blue by 2.0
52.10.5
53.452.9
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
Second
71
#1
44.90.0
45.145.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.5
End12.4
red by 1.6
43.30.5
44.544.0
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
Third
6012
#18
27.70.0
27.927.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
red by 1.4
45
#24
26.30.5
27.527.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6