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Red0
150150.1
7144.9
601227.7
Blue94
102452.1
174743.3
4526.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164163050100150094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#3DQ
50.10.2
50.350.1
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
blue by 2.0
52.10.8
52.952.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
Second
71
#1DQ
44.90.2
45.144.9
Auto12.0
Teleop20.5
End12.4
red by 1.6
43.30.8
44.043.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
Third
6012
#18DQ
27.70.2
27.927.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
red by 1.4
45
#24
26.30.8
27.126.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6