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Red79
219725.2
458031.2
478123.5
Blue79
548421.7
172036.6
540333.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627820401001207979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4580
#15
31.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End3.9
blue by 5.3
36.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
2197
#14
25.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 8.8
33.9
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
Third
4781
#23
23.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 1.8
5484
#28
21.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed