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Red80
355934.4
518821.3
427229.0
Blue123
13542.8
349422.6
394739.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7989607010011012080123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3559
#20
34.40.1
35.035.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
blue by 8.5
135
#10
42.82.2
35.838.0
Auto10.1
Teleop22.8
End10.0
Second
4272
#21
29.00.1
25.125.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End5.4
blue by 9.9
3947
#12
39.02.7
33.135.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
Third
5188
#25
21.30.1
18.518.6
Auto1.3
Teleop15.7
End4.4
blue by 1.3
3494
#27
22.62.2
16.418.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned