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Red65
236018.8
348730.4
540333.9
Blue133
7144.9
394739.0
152935.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510820408010012014016065133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.3
25.325.0
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
blue by 11.0
71
#1
44.91.3
37.438.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.5
End12.4
Second
3487
#13
30.40.3
24.223.9
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End5.0
blue by 8.6
3947
#12
39.01.4
35.737.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
Third
2360
#31
18.80.3
19.819.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 16.5
35.31.3
25.526.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned