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Red102
427229.0
102452.1
458031.2
Blue126
219725.2
355934.4
23443.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019420406080120140160180102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.3
45.545.8
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
red by 8.4
234
#7
43.71.3
40.141.3
Auto14.6
Teleop24.9
End4.2
Second
4580
#15
31.20.3
26.426.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End3.9
blue by 3.1
3559
#20
34.41.3
35.136.3
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Third
4272
#21
29.00.3
25.225.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End5.4
red by 3.9
2197
#14
25.21.3
16.918.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned