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Red114
236018.8
174743.3
102452.1
Blue84
594429.9
601227.7
427229.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186420408010014016011484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.8
45.845.0
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
red by 22.3
5944
#19
29.90.6
24.024.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End5.7
Second
43.30.8
41.240.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
red by 14.2
4272
#21
29.00.6
25.526.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End5.4
Third
2360
#31
18.80.8
19.518.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 8.9
6012
#18
27.70.6
20.721.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed