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Red102
394739.0
355934.4
314730.5
Blue79
501017.9
219725.2
348730.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11450010015010279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
39.00.1
37.237.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
red by 8.6
3487
#13
30.41.4
23.925.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Second
3559
#20
34.40.1
36.336.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
red by 9.2
2197
#14
25.21.4
18.119.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.8
End7.3
Third
3147
#30
30.50.1
27.727.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End11.1
red by 12.5
5010
#32
17.91.4
15.817.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed