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Red144
23443.7
394739.0
174743.3
Blue86
427229.0
286722.6
314730.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137635010015014486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#7
43.70.5
41.642.1
Auto14.6
Teleop24.9
End4.2
red by 13.2
3147
#30
30.50.9
24.925.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End11.1
Second
43.30.5
41.842.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
red by 14.2
4272
#21
29.00.9
27.828.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End5.4
Third
3947
#12
39.00.5
38.338.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
red by 16.4
2867
#33
22.60.9
19.720.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed