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Red97
152935.3
540333.9
601227.7
Blue83
349422.6
478123.5
479124.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87602040801001201409783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.1
29.530.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End4.5
red by 11.2
4791
#16
24.11.0
19.720.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Second
33.91.1
28.930.0
Auto10.1
Teleop18.1
End5.8
red by 10.4
4781
#23
23.51.0
20.421.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
Third
6012
#18
27.71.1
22.323.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
red by 5.1
3494
#27
22.61.0
22.423.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed