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Red96
601227.7
394739.0
4526.3
Blue137
150150.1
458031.2
393634.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87116608010014016018096137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
39.00.5
38.839.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
blue by 11.1
50.11.2
47.548.8
Auto16.0
Teleop27.1
End7.0
Second
6012
#18
27.70.5
23.423.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
blue by 6.4
3936
#11
34.21.2
31.132.3
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Third
45
#24
26.30.5
26.927.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
blue by 4.9
4580
#15
31.21.2
29.831.1
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsEarned