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Red86
101828.8
236018.8
355934.4
Blue84
174137.5
518821.3
479124.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85800501001502008684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3559
#20
34.40.0
37.537.5
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
blue by 3.2
1741
#22
37.50.4
37.137.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
28.80.1
26.426.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End4.8
red by 4.7
4791
#16
24.10.4
20.721.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Third
2360
#31
18.80.0
17.917.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
blue by 2.5
5188
#25
21.30.4
20.721.1
Auto1.3
Teleop15.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed