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Red119
101828.8
4526.3
174743.3
Blue107
23443.7
314730.5
82925.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8695050150200250119107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.6
39.941.5
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
blue by 0.4
234
#7
43.71.1
39.040.1
Auto14.6
Teleop24.9
End4.2
Second
28.81.8
21.223.0
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End4.8
blue by 1.7
3147
#30
30.51.1
25.426.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End11.1
Third
45
#24
26.31.6
23.525.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 1.2
829
#29
25.11.1
26.827.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed