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Red92
102452.1
601227.7
478123.5
Blue67
236018.8
174137.5
393634.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909070801001109267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.1
45.445.5
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
red by 14.6
1741
#22
37.51.5
38.737.2
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
6012
#18
27.70.1
21.221.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.7
End6.5
blue by 6.4
3936
#11
34.21.5
29.227.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Third
4781
#23
23.50.1
19.219.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End4.3
red by 4.7
2360
#31
18.81.5
21.319.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed