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Red65
4526.3
349422.6
427229.0
Blue104
458031.2
548421.7
174137.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8291406010012014065104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#21
29.01.0
30.529.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End5.4
blue by 8.5
1741
#22
37.50.8
36.937.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.1
End4.5
Second
45
#24
26.31.0
27.326.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
blue by 4.9
4580
#15
31.20.8
30.731.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End3.9
Third
3494
#27
22.61.0
23.021.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 0.9
5484
#28
21.70.8
19.720.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsMissed