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Red140
152935.3
174743.3
172036.6
Blue125
102452.1
394739.0
492621.4
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113111406080100120140160180140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.32.0
43.045.0
Auto12.9
Teleop25.4
End5.0
blue by 8.9
52.11.1
51.052.1
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End5.4
Second
36.62.0
33.835.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 2.4
3947
#12
39.01.1
37.838.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End8.3
Third
35.32.0
32.834.8
Auto9.8
Teleop21.0
End4.5
red by 13.9
4926
#26
21.41.1
19.620.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
78%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsEarned