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Red132
102445.4
86841.5
172034.6
Blue132
7136.4
458026.4
7434.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311450100200132132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.1
43.943.8
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
red by 8.9
71
#14
36.40.4
35.836.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End9.7
Second
868
#1
41.50.1
40.039.9
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 7.1
74
#17
34.50.4
33.834.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End10.3
Third
1720
#21
34.60.1
33.233.0
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 8.3
4580
#11
26.40.4
25.826.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End5.8