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Red182
102445.4
86841.5
172034.6
Blue150
174739.9
29233.1
394733.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15113580100120160180200220182150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.3
44.344.6
Auto6.3
Teleop33.5
End5.7
red by 5.5
1747
#19
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
868
#1
41.50.3
40.540.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End6.1
red by 8.4
292
#6
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
1720
#21
34.60.3
33.633.9
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 1.6
3947
#13
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4