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Red97
394032.9
317631.9
348721.6
Blue153
174739.9
29233.1
394733.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031445020097153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#22
32.90.2
33.032.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.1
End6.1
blue by 7.0
1747
#19
39.90.1
40.039.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
31.90.2
32.031.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End5.0
blue by 1.2
292
#6
33.10.1
33.233.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
3487
#29
21.60.2
21.721.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 11.5
3947
#13
33.10.1
33.233.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4