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Red81
217132.2
172034.6
394032.9
Blue27
277139.3
290918.4
478119.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93490204060801001201408127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#21
34.60.3
25.024.7
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
blue by 4.7
39.33.0
23.020.0
Auto9.2
Teleop27.2
End3.0
Second
3940
#22
32.90.2
32.332.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.1
End6.1
red by 13.7
4781
#36
19.23.0
15.612.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Third
32.20.2
26.626.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
red by 13.8
2909
#32
18.41.8
15.713.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed