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Red80
394733.1
152925.3
458026.4
Blue132
174739.9
540225.6
7136.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5797020408012014080132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#13
33.11.6
25.026.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 6.8
1747
#19
39.91.9
41.843.7
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
4580
#11
26.41.6
17.418.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End5.8
blue by 10.1
71
#14
36.43.2
28.731.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.7
End9.7
Third
1529
#20
25.31.6
18.620.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 0.3
5402
#15
25.61.9
17.519.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned