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Red120
101821.2
174137.8
498241.6
Blue86
290918.4
540225.6
394032.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10274406012014016012086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.7
40.241.9
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
red by 8.8
3940
#22
32.90.7
33.934.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.1
End6.1
Second
1741
#12
37.81.7
35.937.5
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
red by 12.2
5402
#15
25.60.7
24.124.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Third
1018
#27
21.22.6
19.021.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 2.8
2909
#32
18.40.7
18.218.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned