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Red65
286715.8
277139.3
501014.1
Blue55
164624.3
348721.6
152925.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68810501001506555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.3
37.637.3
Auto9.2
Teleop27.2
End3.0
red by 14.1
1529
#20
25.32.4
25.523.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Second
2867
#30
15.80.3
15.915.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End1.8
blue by 8.5
1646
#34
24.31.8
26.624.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Third
5010
#33
14.10.3
14.514.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 7.5
3487
#29
21.62.4
24.522.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed